Edited by the Macro & Market Research Team.
A team of 13 analysts based in Paris, Cologne, Trieste, Milan and Prague runs qualitative and quantitative analysis on macroeconomic and financial issues.
The team translates macro and quant views into investment ideas that feed into the investment process.
Central banks increasingly signal a turn to more accomodative policies, which can keep growth alive.
On top of that, risk assets can benefit from the stabilization in macro data and inflows, as investors look for alternatives to record low bond yields.
However, this will not be a repeat of 2016, and the rally will be shorter, as profits’ growth this year will be more muted than three years ago.
We reduce our cash overweight to almost neutral, remain long on equities, credit and Emerging Markets’ assets.