- Market Outlook
- 13/01/2020
Easing global policy concerns (Brexit, US-China tensions) coincide with bottoming trade and manufacturing data, but new tension in the Middle East are likely to dampen the sentiment.
Some good news are already discounted by financial markets, but the positive risk/moderate inflation environment will favor risk sentiment in 2020, barring an escalation in political tensions.
We still expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut rates in H1. The European Central Bank (ECB) will keep its accomodative stance.
Improved macro fundamentals justify an increase in the overweight in Credit and Equities, financed by an higher underweight in Sovereign bonds and Cash.
