September 7, 2018

Market Compass Sep. 2018

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin
Share on email

In Short

Edited by the Macro & Market Research Team. The team of 13 analysts based in Paris, Cologne, Trieste, Milan and Prague runs qualitative and quantitative analysis on macroeconomic and financial issues. The team translates macro and quant views into investment ideas that feed into the investment process.
Market Compass Sep. 2018
Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin
Share on email
  • The strong US performance supports global growth, but political uncertainties (Trade war, Brexit, Italy) will weigh on sentiment over the next months. The increase in US policy rates will have global spillovers.
  • Some Emerging Markets’ currencies are weakening significantly given the higher US rates, but a global crisis looks unlikely, given the overall solid economic fundamentals.
  • Political uncertainty will keep core bond yields low for now. However, in the longer run, resilient growth, inflation and reduced support by central banks will support them.
  • Volatility in Developed Markets’ equity and rates appears low, given the forthcoming monetary tightening. We keep a defensive stance by holding cash and prefer equity over bonds given the looming monetary tightening.
MARKET COMPASS SEPTEMBER 2018

Also interesting

Financial-and-technical-data-analysis-chart
July 30, 2021
Market Commentary

Market Commentary: Q2 reporting season is doing well but annual growth has peaked

size 3
July 29, 2021
Market Commentary

COVID-19 UPDATE Facts & Figures – 29/07/2021

federal-reserve-building-with-twenty-dollar-bill-on-grunge-texture-picture-id175716236
July 28, 2021
Market Commentary

MARKET COMMENTARY – The Fed: the recovery is on track, tapering is approaching