Aperture Investors | Global Conflict and the Current Macro Environment: Evaluating Markets in the Near-Term

In Short

A letter from Peter Kraus, CEO of Aperture Investors
Featured Funds
Picture

Part of the Generali Investments' platform

With summer in full swing and the first half of 2022 behind us, it’s a good time to take stock of recent events. As we look ahead to September and October - typically the two most volatile months for markets - I am reminded that according to S&P, there is little if any historical correlation between the first and second halves of the year.1 I start with Russia and the war in Ukraine, a theme that will come up repeatedly throughout this letter. I then talk about potential ramifications for China and Taiwan, after which I take a close look at macroeconomic factors in Europe and the US. Finally, I’ll discuss my view on ways the war might come to some kind of resolution and I summarize my predictions for the remainder of the year. 

What’s Up with Putin? 

Rumors have circulated for months (and recent video evidence seems to indicate) that Putin is suffering from Parkinsons, or cancer. In either case, it’s possible he could have as few as six months left to live. Recent footage lends credibility to these rumors; his performance could potentially be explained by heavy medication. 

 

Read the full article:

Aperture Investors I A letter from the CEO
Picture

Generali Investments, all rights reserved. This website is provided by Generali Investments and is considered as a marketing communication and financial promotion related to the products and services of the following companies belonging to the Generali group: Generali Investments Partners S.p.A. Società di gestione del risparmio, Generali Insurance Asset Management S.p.A. Società di gestione del risparmio, Generali Investments Luxembourg S.A. and Generali Investments Holding S.p.A. (hereinafter jointly, Generali Investments).